OMJP

Iran: Is Iran Next?


OMJP Forum: Potential War Against Iran

Friday, May 20, 2005
7:00 to 9:00 PM
Olympia Community Center [Map]
222 Columbia St. NW, Room B

Speakers: Larry Mosqueda, on Project for the New American Century; Michael Tempke, peak oil; and Alice Zillah, nuclear issues.

Film Clip: "Hijacking Catastrophe: 9/11, Fear & the Selling of American Empire," narrated by Julian Bond, Media Education Foundation, 2004. See summary and study guide.

The forum will address signs of a possible impending attack against Iran; why the Bush administration has developed these plans; why such plans are illegal under international law; and how these aims fit into the broader context of US policy in the Mid-East as developed by the Project for a New American Century in the late 1990’s. Speakers will also address the issues of peak oil and nuclear nonproliferation, followed by a question-and-answer period.



OMJP Meeting 4/13/05—At the February Support the Truth event, Scott Ritter said that the Bush administration is planning to attack Iran in June. Despite the fact that the corporate press is not covering this issue, there are indications that an attack could happen. Israel PM Ariel Sharon has also said that June is the "point of no return". The US and Israel state that Iran wants to develop a nuclear bomb. Iran has said its uranium enrichment activities are allowed under the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty. If Iran is in fact developing a bomb, it's probably in response to the 100-200 nuclear warheads that Israel has and the thousands of nukes that the US has. Sadly, many countries see acquiring a nuclear bomb as a "logical response" to the military threat posed by the US and other nuclear states.

However the nuclear issue is probably a smokescreen for the real issue: the huge oil and natural gas reserves that Iran has, and the fact that it is selling oil and gas to China and India, competitors of the US. US sanctions prevent US companies from doing business with Iran. The Bush administration would therefore like to either 1) extend these sanctions to all foreign companies through the UN, which would not be possible because of China's veto; or 2) achieve "regime change" in Iran so that a government more friendly to US interests would come in to power.

John Bolton is the person who has called for a "robust" military attack on Iran if it doesn't stop its uranium enrichment. Some analysts think Bolton was nominated for UN Ambassador to help enable a US attack on Iran. Defeating Bolton's nomination is one way to prevent an attack.—Alice Zillah



Oil, Geopolitics, and the Coming War with Iran
by Michael T. Klare
CommonDreams
April 11, 2005

Michael T. Klare is professor of peace and world security studies at Hampshire College and the author of Blood and Oil: The Dangers and Consequences of America's Growing Dependency on Imported Oil (Metropolitan Books).



ARTICLES ON IRAN

The Coming Wars
What the Pentagon can now do in secret
by Seymour Hersch
The New Yorker
January 24 and 31, 2005
http://www.newyorker.com/fact/content/?050124fa_fact

Journalist: U.S. planning for possible attack on Iran
CNN Report
January 17, 2005
http://www.cnn.com/2005/ALLPOLITICS/01/16/hersh.iran/

Scott Ritter Says U.S. Plans June Attack On Iran
by Mark Jensen
Information Clearing House
February 19, 2005
http://www.informationclearinghouse.info/article8130.htm
Also at United for Peace and Justice Pierce County at http://www.ufppc.org/content/view/2295/

Sleepwalking to Disaster in Iran
by Scott Ritter
CommonDreams
April 16, 2005
http://www.commondreams.org/views05/0330-31.htm

If Not Now, When?
Condoleezza Rice says the US has no plans to attack Iran 'at this point in time'. But recent history suggests otherwise
by James C Moore
The Independent (UK)
February 6, 2005
http://www.commondreams.org/views05/0206-26.htm
http://comment.independent.co.uk/commentators/story.jsp?story=608179

Bush's Plan to Hit Iran [Audio file]
A radio interview with Scott Ritter on Air America by Charles Goyette
Antiwar.com
April 02, 2005
http://www.antiwar.com/av/?articleid=5433

Nukes, Neo-Cons, and the Bush Who Cried Wolf Again
Part I: Four More Wars
by Steve Weissman
Truthout.org
November 25, 2004
http://www.truthout.org/docs_04/112504A.shtml

Will Iran Be Next?
Soldiers, spies, and diplomats conduct a classic Pentagon war game—with sobering results
by James Fallows
The Atlantic Monthly
December 2004
http://www.theatlantic.com/doc/prem/200412/fallows

Articles posted by Veterans For Common Sense:
Hawks Plan 'Peaceful' Regime Change in Iran
by Jim Lobe
Antiwar.com
December 22, 2004
http://www.antiwar.com/lobe/?articleid=4200

Iran: Dj Vu All Over Again
by Charles V. Pea
CATO Institute
June 12, 2003
http://www.cato.org/pub_display.php?pub_id=3125

US military routinely updating Iran war plan
International Relations and Security Network
February 11, 2005
http://www.isn.ethz.ch/news/sw/details.cfm?id=10754



ORGANIZATIONS WORKING ON IRANIAN ISSUES

Amnesty International
http://web.amnesty.org/library/eng-irn/index

AntiWar.com
http://www.antiwar.com/regions/regions.php?c=Iran

Iranian Red Cresent [International Red Cross]
http://www.rcs.ir/en/index.php

Parstimes.com
Large collection of military and defense information at
http://www.parstimes.com/defence/
See also Iran Index

UNICEF
http://www.unicef.org/infobycountry/iran.html

US Department of Energy
Country Analysis Brief: Iran
http://www.eia.doe.gov/emeu/cabs/iran.html

US Department of State
Background Note: Iran
http://www.state.gov/r/pa/ei/bgn/5314.htm

US Library of Congress
Iran, and A Country Study: Iran

World Bank
Women for Peace and Justice in Iran
http://www.women4peace.org/



LEAFLET [plain text]

An OMJP sub-group developed a half page informational leaflet, text below. The leaflets are available at Media Island International at 816 Adams St, across from the downtown Olympia library, on the front porch to the left under "Event Information."

IS IRAN THE NEXT TARGET IN THE ADMINISTRATION’S SIGHTS?

On Feb. 18, former UN weapons inspector Scott Ritter told an Olympia audience that the Bush administration has plans to attack Iran in June of 2005. “The Pentagon was told to be prepared to launch a massive aerial attack against Iran, Iraq's neighbor to the east, in order to destroy the Iranian nuclear program.”

There are other indications: In late March three warships with 6,300 sailors and Marines were deployed to the Persian Gulf. Bush has repeatedly said publicly that “all options are on the table” in regards to Iran. Commentator Charles Goyette says, “That the US might attack Iran in June is one of our worst-kept secrets.”

The Bush administration is saying the same things about Iran that they said about Iraq: it has a secret weapons program, ties to Al Qaeda, and represents a threat to the US. But last month an official US Presidential Commission stated that virtually every report on Iraq from the intelligence community was “dead wrong.” These dead wrong reports were used to justify a war that has resulted in the deaths of over 1560 Americans and 100,000 Iraqis. Americans have spent over $200 billion on this war and there is no end in sight.

No More Excuses for War!

Now is the time to act. Call your congressperson and ask them to vocally oppose an attack on Iran, and to support the Woolsey resolution calling for the troops to be brought home from Iraq.

Congressman Brian Baird – (360) 352-9768 or (202) 225-3536
Congressman Adam Smith – (888) 764-8409 or (202) 225-8901
Senator Patty Murray – (206) 553-5545 or (202) 224-2621
Senator Maria Cantwell – (888) 648-7328 or (202) 224-3441

For more information on the possibility of an Iran war see:
www.commondreams.org/views05/0411-21.htm
www.newyorker.com/fact/content/?050124fa_fact
www.ufppc.org/content/view/2295/



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